TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AD Pasto vs. CD Tolima
Volume:
$151,056
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match between AD Pasto and CD Tolima scheduled for April 10–11, 2026. Three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the match outcome: whether Pasto wins, Tolima wins, or the match ends in a draw, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market has a logical contradiction: all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Tie, Tolima win, Pasto win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating data integrity failure. Additionally, scheduled date differs between platforms (April 10 vs April 11, 2026).Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market as written—it will resolve Yes regardless of the actual match outcome, rendering it meaningless for prediction purposes. Use Polymarket's three separate binary markets instead, but first confirm the correct match date (April 10 or 11) with official DIMAYOR sources. If the match is postponed, Polymarket markets remain open; if canceled with no makeup, Draw resolves Yes but Win markets resolve No.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Will Pasto win (Yes/No), Will match end in draw (Yes/No), Will Tolima win (Yes/No). Scheduled for April 11, 2026. Resolution source: official DIMAYOR statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours. Cancellation with no makeup: Draw resolves Yes, Pasto/Tolima wins resolve No. Key quote: 'This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.'
- Kalshi: Single market with three outcome branches, all specified to resolve to Yes: 'If Tie wins... then resolves to Yes. If Tolima wins... then resolves to Yes. If Pasto wins... then resolves to Yes.' Scheduled for April 10, 2026. This creates a logical impossibility—the market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Key quote: 'If Tie wins... If Tolima wins... If Pasto wins... then the market resolves to Yes' (all three conditions).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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