TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF
Volume:
$352,096
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Saturday, March 28, 2026 between AD Ceuta FC and Cádiz CF.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Ceuta win, Draw, Cádiz win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three non-mutually-exclusive markets that all resolve YES regardless of outcome, creating a logical contradiction in Kalshi's structure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group — they are logically unresolvable. Kalshi's three markets all resolve YES for any match outcome (tie, Ceuta win, or Cádiz win), making them functionally identical and eliminating meaningful price discovery. Polymarket's three binary markets are standard and resolvable.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting logic: defines three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one outcome (Ceuta win, Draw, or Cádiz win) will resolve YES and the other two resolve NO. Each market has clear YES/NO resolution criteria tied to the match result. Quote: 'If AD Ceuta FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: defines three markets with identical resolution logic — all three resolve YES if any of the three outcomes (Tie, Ceuta win, or Cádiz win) occurs. This makes all three markets functionally identical and logically incoherent. Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Ceuta wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Cadiz wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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