TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,176,691

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,391,958,194

394,660

Markets across

30,119

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF
polymarket
kalshi

AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF

Volume:
$352,096

AD Ceuta FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 28, 2026

Closed: Mar 28, 9:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

AD Ceuta FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$111,874
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ceuta

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$84,800
N/A
N/A
$56,941
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cadiz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,468
N/A
N/A
$30,929
Settled
No
polymarket

Cádiz CF

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,236
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,496
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,222
N/A
N/A
$19,120
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Saturday, March 28, 2026 between AD Ceuta FC and Cádiz CF.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Ceuta win, Draw, Cádiz win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three non-mutually-exclusive markets that all resolve YES regardless of outcome, creating a logical contradiction in Kalshi's structure.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group — they are logically unresolvable. Kalshi's three markets all resolve YES for any match outcome (tie, Ceuta win, or Cádiz win), making them functionally identical and eliminating meaningful price discovery. Polymarket's three binary markets are standard and resolvable.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting logic: defines three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one outcome (Ceuta win, Draw, or Cádiz win) will resolve YES and the other two resolve NO. Each market has clear YES/NO resolution criteria tied to the match result. Quote: 'If AD Ceuta FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier: defines three markets with identical resolution logic — all three resolve YES if any of the three outcomes (Tie, Ceuta win, or Cádiz win) occurs. This makes all three markets functionally identical and logically incoherent. Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Ceuta wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Cadiz wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.