TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC
kalshi
polymarket

ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC

Volume:
$801,944

Fiorentina

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Apr 16, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fiorentina

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$172,401
N/A
N/A
$145,047
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ACF Fiorentina

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$98,390
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Crystal Palace

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$280,976
N/A
N/A
$238,169
Settled
No
polymarket

Crystal Palace FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$185,844
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,738
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,595
N/A
N/A
$23,212
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for Thursday, April 16, 2026 between ACF Fiorentina and Crystal Palace FC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcomes (Fiorentina win, Crystal Palace win, Tie) resolve to YES simultaneously, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary resolution (one outcome per market), which is logically sound.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a fatal logical flaw where every possible match outcome triggers YES resolution, making it impossible to determine a true winner or loser. Polymarket's three separate binary markets are the only resolvable instruments for this event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets, each resolving YES/NO based on a single outcome: Fiorentina win, Draw, or Crystal Palace win. Exactly one market resolves YES. Resolution source is official UEFA statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves NO (or YES for draw market only).
  • Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions stated as: 'If Fiorentina wins... then resolves to Yes. If Crystal Palace wins... then resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where the market resolves YES regardless of match outcome, violating basic binary market semantics. No resolution source, timing, or cancellation clause is specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.