TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC
Volume:
$801,944
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for Thursday, April 16, 2026 between ACF Fiorentina and Crystal Palace FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcomes (Fiorentina win, Crystal Palace win, Tie) resolve to YES simultaneously, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary resolution (one outcome per market), which is logically sound.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a fatal logical flaw where every possible match outcome triggers YES resolution, making it impossible to determine a true winner or loser. Polymarket's three separate binary markets are the only resolvable instruments for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets, each resolving YES/NO based on a single outcome: Fiorentina win, Draw, or Crystal Palace win. Exactly one market resolves YES. Resolution source is official UEFA statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves NO (or YES for draw market only).
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions stated as: 'If Fiorentina wins... then resolves to Yes. If Crystal Palace wins... then resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where the market resolves YES regardless of match outcome, violating basic binary market semantics. No resolution source, timing, or cancellation clause is specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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