TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AC Milan vs. Torino FC - Halftime Result
Volume:
$5,050
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of the AC Milan vs. Torino FC Serie A match scheduled for March 21, 2026. Markets track whether Milan wins, Torino wins, or the match is tied after 45 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's single market conflates all three possible halftime outcomes (Milan win, Draw, Torino win) into a single Yes resolution, making it logically unresolvable and uninformative. Polymarket correctly structures three separate binary markets for each outcome.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's market entirely—it will always resolve Yes and provides no predictive value. Use Polymarket's three distinct binary markets (Milan leading, Draw, Torino leading) which are mutually exclusive and properly designed.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Single market that resolves Yes for any halftime outcome (Milan win, Draw, or Torino win). This is a logical error that renders the market uninformative. Quote: 'If Milan is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes. If Torino is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: (1) AC Milan leading at halftime - Yes if Milan wins, No otherwise; (2) Draw at halftime - Yes if tied, No otherwise; (3) Torino leading at halftime - Yes if Torino wins, No otherwise. Properly mutually exclusive. Quote: 'If AC Milan wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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