TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AC Milan vs. Torino FC
Volume:
$1,189,014
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between AC Milan and Torino FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Milan win, draw, Torino win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three independent markets that each resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs, creating a logical contradiction where multiple Kalshi markets can resolve YES simultaneously for the same match.Hero Tip:
Do not assume Polymarket and Kalshi will settle identically. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets resolves YES. On Kalshi, all three markets could resolve YES if you interpret them as independent outcome confirmations. Clarify with each platform whether Kalshi's three markets are mutually exclusive or cumulative before placing large positions.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket structures the group as three mutually exclusive binary markets where the match outcome determines which single market resolves YES and the other two resolve NO. The description states 'If AC Milan wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No,' establishing that only one outcome per match is possible and only one Polymarket question can resolve YES.
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents three independent yes/no markets, each confirming a specific outcome: 'If Torino wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' 'If Milan wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' and 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This structure allows all three markets to resolve YES simultaneously if each is interpreted as an independent confirmation of its outcome, contradicting the mutually exclusive logic of Polymarket.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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