TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. UT Arlington Mavericks (W)
Volume:
$32,619
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball matchup between Abilene Christian Wildcats and UT Arlington Mavericks scheduled for March 7, 2026. The markets track which team wins the game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (UT Arlington win or Abilene Christian win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making it impossible to distinguish between outcomes. Polymarket uses a coherent categorical resolution mapping each team to their name.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until this is corrected. The market cannot be settled fairly as written. Polymarket is the only reliable resolution source for this event. Contact Kalshi support to clarify whether this should be a binary Yes/No or categorical outcome market.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both outcomes map to Yes resolution. If UT Arlington wins = Yes; If Abilene Christian wins = Yes. This creates an unresolvable contradiction where the market cannot distinguish between the two mutually exclusive game outcomes.
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution: Abilene Christian win resolves to 'Abilene Christian Wildcats'; UT Arlington win resolves to 'UT Arlington Mavericks'. Cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Postponement keeps market open until completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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