TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texans
kalshi
polymarket

Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texans

Volume:
$4,477,069

Tarleton St.

 - Kalshi

Tarleton St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 17, 2026

Closed: Feb 16, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tarleton St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$1,354,888
$2,033,529
N/A
N/A
$1,009,612
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Abilene Christian

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1,348,084
$1,960,071
N/A
N/A
$969,030
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$106,390
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$724
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texans

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$276,626
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 135.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,840
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 133.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,562
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 134.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,328
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 8

Description

A men's college basketball game between Abilene Christian Wildcats and Tarleton State Texans scheduled for February 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-1.5 and -2.5), and over/under totals at multiple levels (133.5, 134.5, and 135.5 points).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline markets specify both possible outcomes (Abilene Christian win and Tarleton State win) resolving to Yes, creating a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and consistent.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi moneyline markets until resolution logic is corrected. Polymarket moneyline, spread, and total markets are safe to trade and follow standard college basketball settlement conventions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline markets contain unresolvable logic: both 'If Abilene Christian wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Tarleton St. wins...resolves to Yes' are stated, making all outcomes identical. This violates binary market structure.
  • Polymarket: Clear binary moneyline: Abilene Christian win resolves to 'Abilene Christian Wildcats', Tarleton State win resolves to 'Tarleton State Texans'. Spreads resolve based on margin thresholds (-1.5 or -2.5 points). Totals resolve based on combined score thresholds (133.5, 134.5, or 135.5 points). All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.