TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Aberdeen FC vs. Falkirk FC
Volume:
$60,808
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a Scottish Premiership soccer match between Aberdeen FC and Falkirk FC scheduled for March 14, 2026. Three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track whether Aberdeen wins, Falkirk wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on cancellation handling. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation while win markets resolve NO, but Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation rule, leaving resolution ambiguous if the match is canceled without a make-up date.Hero Tip:
Track SPFL.co.uk for cancellation notices. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket's draw market will resolve YES while Aberdeen and Falkirk win markets resolve NO—a logical inconsistency. Kalshi's cancellation protocol is undefined; clarify before the event date to avoid settlement disputes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets: Aberdeen Win resolves NO on cancellation, Falkirk Win resolves NO on cancellation, Draw resolves YES on cancellation. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve [NO for wins / YES for draw].' Primary source is SPFL.co.uk or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
- Kalshi: Three combined markets covering all outcomes (Aberdeen Win, Falkirk Win, Tie). No explicit cancellation clause provided. Implicitly assumes game completion. Quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Aberdeen vs Falkirk professional Scottish Premiership soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.' No fallback resolution source specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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