TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
76ers vs. Wizards
Volume:
$9,819,143
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the NBA game between the Philadelphia 76ers and Washington Wizards scheduled for April 1 at 7:00 PM ET. The winner is determined by the final score including any overtime periods, with the market resolving to either "76ers" or "Wizards" accordingly.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive, granular market definitions with explicit resolution thresholds, sources, and edge-case handling (postponement, cancellation, overtime inclusion, player inactivity). Kalshi's market definition is incomplete and logically contradictory: it states 'If Washington wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Philadelphia wins...then the market resolves to Yes', which means the market resolves YES regardless of outcome—a fundamental data integrity failure that makes the market unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's market. The resolution logic is broken: both possible outcomes (Washington win OR Philadelphia win) are mapped to YES, leaving no NO outcome. Polymarket's markets are fully specified with clear thresholds, sources (NBA.com official box scores), and contingencies. Trade only on Polymarket if you require certainty of settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier (complete specification): Polymarket defines 56 distinct markets across moneyline, spreads, totals, player props, and first-half variants. Each market specifies: (1) exact resolution threshold (e.g., '76ers win by 16 or more points' for -15.5 spread), (2) primary source (NBA.com official box score), (3) edge-case handling (postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50; overtime included; player inactivity resolves NO). Example: 'This market will resolve to "76ers" if the 76ers win the game by 16 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wizards". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Outlier (logically contradictory and incomplete): Kalshi provides only two statements: 'If Washington wins the Philadelphia at Washington professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Philadelphia wins the Philadelphia at Washington professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes map to YES, leaving no valid NO resolution path. No source, edge-case handling, or contingency clauses are specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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