TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
76ers vs. Celtics
Volume:
$6,274,699
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 28 at 12:00AM ET: If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers". If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use different market structures and point thresholds for the same game. Kalshi offers binary YES/NO markets on discrete point floors (10, 15, 20, 25, 30, 35, 40+), while Polymarket offers over/under prop bets at decimal thresholds (e.g., 15.5, 24.5, 25.5). The two platforms measure overlapping but distinct betting constructs.Hero Tip:
Map thresholds carefully when comparing across platforms. Kalshi's 25+ points is equivalent to Polymarket's >24.5 points (both require 25+ actual points). However, Kalshi's 20+ is NOT equivalent to Polymarket's 24.5 O/U. Use the official NBA box score as the single source of truth for player point totals, and apply each platform's specific threshold logic independently.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: 47 binary YES/NO markets on individual player point thresholds (10+, 15+, 20+, 25+, 30+, 35+, 40+). Each market resolves YES if the player records that many points or more during the game. Example: 'If Jayson Tatum records 35+ Points in the Philadelphia vs Boston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' No explicit resolution source cited; assumes official NBA box score.
- Polymarket: 14 markets covering game outcome (76ers/Celtics), spread (Celtics -11.5), total points (O/U 214.5, 215.5), and player props (points, rebounds, assists at decimal thresholds). Player point markets use >X.5 logic: 'This market will resolve to Yes if [Player] scores more than X.5 points during the game.' Resolution source explicitly stated as 'official NBA box score as published on NBA.com.' Inactive players resolve to No.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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