This event group tracks the winner of the 2026 NBA All-Star 3-Point Contest, scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi allow traders to bet on individual players or catch-all outcomes. Resolution depends on official NBA declaration of the contest winner.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms resolve on the same core event—the official 2026 NBA All-Star 3-Point Contest winner—with Polymarket providing more explicit edge-case handling (cancellation, ineligibility, tiebreaker) than Kalshi's binary yes/no structure.
Primary resolution logic:
NBA.com official announcement; credible sports reporting consensus as secondary source
Core resolution logic:
Resolution occurs when the NBA officially declares the winner of the 2026 State Farm 3-Point Contest at NBA All-Star Weekend on February 14, 2026
Individual player markets (e.g., Donovan Mitchell, Damian Lillard) resolve Yes if that player wins; No if they do not win or become ineligible
Catch-all 'another player' or 'Other' markets resolve Yes if a player not explicitly listed wins the contest
In case of multiple announced winners, the player whose last name comes first alphabetically is deemed the winner
If a listed player is disqualified or withdraws before the contest, their individual market resolves No
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Contest Cancellation or Postponement: If the 2026 3-Point Contest is cancelled, postponed past February 28, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is declared within that timeframe, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'. Kalshi has no explicit rule for this scenario and would likely remain unresolved pending clarification.
Player Ineligibility: If a listed player becomes ineligible per NBA rules (e.g., disqualification, injury withdrawal), Polymarket's individual market for that player resolves No. Kalshi's binary structure does not explicitly address this; the market would depend on whether the player actually competes.
Multiple Winners Announced: If two or more players are announced as co-winners, Polymarket applies alphabetical tiebreaker by last name. Kalshi does not address this scenario explicitly.
Placeholder Players: Polymarket includes eight placeholder markets (A through H) and one 'another player' catch-all. These resolve Yes only if a player not explicitly named wins. Kalshi lists only eight named players with no catch-all, creating potential ambiguity if an unlisted player wins.
Data Integrity - Typo in Polymarket: Polymarket lists 'Normal Powell' (Question 17); Kalshi correctly lists 'Norman Powell'. This is a minor transcription error that should resolve to the same player (Norman Powell, Denver Nuggets guard) on both platforms.
Timing:
Resolution occurs on or shortly after February 14, 2026, when the NBA officially announces the 2026 3-Point Contest winner. Final resolution deadline is February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; if no winner is declared by then, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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