TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make USA Squad
Total volume:
$2,465
Volume 24h:
$281
0%
Liquidity:
$3,434
76%
Open interest:
$2,465
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks whether specific players will be included in the USA's official 2026 FIFA World Cup squad, as announced by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Markets span four platforms (Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Predict) covering 40+ candidate players including established stars like Christian Pulisic and emerging talents. Resolution depends on official FIFA squad announcement, with replacement before first match still counting as 'Yes'.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All four platforms (Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Predict) use identical resolution criteria with no material divergences in timing, source, or logic.
Primary resolution logic:
FIFA official sources (FIFA.com), with consensus of credible reporting as secondary sourceCore resolution logic:
- Market resolves YES if player is officially announced as member of USA's final 2026 World Cup squad by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
- Only full squad announcements are considered; prior cut lists and preliminary rosters do not trigger resolution
- If player is announced but replaced before USA's first match, market still resolves YES
- Market resolves NO if player is not announced in final squad, or cannot be confirmed within timeframe
- Market resolves NO if 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled or postponed after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Replacement after announcement: If a player is officially announced as part of the squad but is replaced before the nation's first game for any reason, the market resolves YES
- Tournament cancellation or delay: If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled or postponed after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves NO
- Preliminary vs final squad: Only the officially announced final squad counts; preliminary rosters, cut lists, and previous squad lists do not trigger resolution
- Source hierarchy: Primary resolution source is FIFA.com; credible reporting consensus is used as secondary source if official announcement is delayed or ambiguous
Timing:
Resolution window closes June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Tournament cancellation or postponement after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET triggers NO resolution for all markets in this group.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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