TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.6b

24H VOL:

$283,259,638

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,235,549,422

505,521

Markets across

13,661

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,892

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

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Trending

2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Argentina Squad

Total volume:
$8,576
Volume 24h:
$1,438
693%
Liquidity:
$7,347
89%
Open interest:
$7,505
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group covers prediction markets on whether specific players will be included in Argentina's official 2026 FIFA World Cup squad, with markets spanning Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, and Predict platforms. The resolution hinges on official squad announcement by FIFA by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, with consistent criteria across all platforms regarding what constitutes a valid squad announcement and how replacements are treated.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All four platforms (Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Predict) employ identical resolution criteria, timing windows, edge case handling, and primary/secondary sources with no material divergence.

Primary resolution logic:

FIFA official website (https://www.fifa.com/) for the official 2026 FIFA World Cup Argentina squad announcement; consensus of credible sports reporting outlets as secondary validation.

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves YES if the named player is officially announced as a member of Argentina's final squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup
  • Resolution deadline is June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; announcement must occur by this date
  • Only full official squad announcements are valid; preliminary rosters, cut lists, or prior squad lists do not trigger resolution
  • If a player is officially announced but subsequently replaced before Argentina's first match, the market resolves YES
  • Market resolves NO if the player is not included in the official squad announcement by the deadline
  • Market resolves OTHER if the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the player's squad status cannot be confirmed within the timeframe

Edge cases & Clarifications:

  • Replacement After Announcement: If a player is officially announced as part of the squad but is replaced due to injury, suspension, or other reason before Argentina's first match, the market resolves YES. The announcement itself is the triggering event, not final participation.
  • Tournament Postponement: If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is postponed to a date after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves OTHER, as the resolution window closes regardless of whether a squad has been announced.
  • Tournament Cancellation: If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled entirely, all markets in this group resolve OTHER.
  • Unconfirmed Status: If squad status cannot be confirmed as of June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET due to missing or ambiguous official documentation, the market resolves OTHER.
  • Multiple Squad Announcements: Only the official final squad announcement by FIFA counts. If Argentina releases preliminary or alternative rosters, these do not trigger resolution; only the official final squad list matters.

Timing:

Resolution occurs upon official announcement of Argentina's final 2026 FIFA World Cup squad by FIFA, with a hard deadline of June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no official announcement has been made by this deadline, the market resolves NO (or OTHER if tournament status is unclear). The tournament itself begins June 12, 2026, providing a 11-day buffer between squad announcement deadline and first match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.