TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
2026 FIFA World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
Total volume:
$129,518
Volume 24h:
$10,018
22%
Liquidity:
$675,785
3%
Open interest:
$76,644
9%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks whether specific nations will reach the final match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The 2026 World Cup will be co-hosted by USA, Canada, and Mexico, with the final scheduled to occur by August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Markets resolve Yes if the listed nation appears in the official final matchup, and No if they are mathematically eliminated or if the tournament is cancelled/postponed beyond the deadline.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All four platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless, Predict) employ identical resolution logic: Yes if the nation reaches the final, No if eliminated or tournament disrupted.
Primary resolution logic:
Official FIFA sources; consensus of credible reporting as fallbackCore resolution logic:
- Market resolves Yes if the listed nation qualifies for and appears in the official 2026 FIFA World Cup final match
- Market resolves No if the nation is mathematically eliminated from advancing to the final at any point before or during the tournament
- Market resolves No if the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled entirely
- Market resolves No if the 2026 FIFA World Cup is postponed to after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
- Market resolves No if the final matchup has not been officially declared by August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Tournament Cancellation: If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled for any reason, all markets in this group resolve to No
- Postponement Beyond Deadline: If the tournament is postponed such that the final occurs after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets resolve to No
- Mathematical Elimination: If a nation is eliminated from advancing to the final (e.g., group stage exit, knockout round loss), the market resolves to No immediately upon that elimination
- Final Not Declared: If the official final matchup is not declared by the August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET deadline, all markets resolve to No
- Source Consensus: If official FIFA information is unavailable, credible reporting consensus from major sports news outlets may be used to determine final qualification
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official declaration of the 2026 FIFA World Cup final by FIFA, or by August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (whichever comes first). If the final is not declared by this deadline, all markets resolve to No.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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