TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,176,691

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,391,958,194

394,660

Markets across

30,119

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Hamburger SV
polymarket
kalshi

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Hamburger SV

Volume:
$518,135

Over 1.5 goals scored

 - Kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 21, 2026

Closed: Feb 20, 5:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,813
N/A
N/A
$4,753
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,416
N/A
N/A
$23,119
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,713
N/A
N/A
$8,077
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,776
N/A
N/A
$4,743
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Hamburger SV)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$93,154
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Hamburger SV

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$206,363
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

1. FSV Mainz 05

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$162,901
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a Bundesliga soccer match between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Hamburger SV scheduled for February 20, 2026. Polymarket offers three binary markets on match outcome (Mainz win, draw, Hamburg win), while Kalshi offers four over/under markets on combined goals scored by both teams.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi cover different market types (match outcome vs. goal totals) with divergent cancellation logic. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while win markets resolve No; Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation rule.Hero tip: Monitor both platforms for cancellation/postponement announcements. Be aware that on Polymarket, a canceled match is a draw-market win but a loss for both win markets. Kalshi goal markets lack explicit cancellation guidance; clarify with the platform before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets (Mainz win, draw, Hamburg win) resolving on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation with no make-up: Mainz and Hamburg win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"' (win markets) vs. 'this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw market).
  • Kalshi: Four over/under goal total markets (>3.5, >2.5, >1.5, >4.5 combined goals). Resolution based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Quote: 'If Hamburg and Mainz collectively score more than X total goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.