TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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1. FC Nürnberg vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
polymarket
kalshi

1. FC Nürnberg vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf

Volume:
$127,388

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 7, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 7:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28,495
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dusseldorf

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,115
N/A
N/A
$10,299
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1. FC Nürnberg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,225
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nuremberg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,172
N/A
N/A
$14,463
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,951
N/A
N/A
$3,307
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (1. FC Nürnberg vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,430
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Bundesliga 2 (German second division) soccer match between 1. FC Nürnberg and TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf scheduled for March 7, 2026. Three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the outcome: whether Nürnberg wins, whether Düsseldorf wins, and whether the match ends in a draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: evaluation at 90 minutes plus stoppage time only, same postponement/cancellation rules, and shared primary source hierarchy (official governing body statistics with credible reporting fallback).Primary resolution logic: Official Bundesliga statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours after match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting sources.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome determined solely by score at 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
  • Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution
  • Draw market (Polymarket) resolves Yes if final score is equal, No otherwise
  • Nürnberg win market resolves Yes only if Nürnberg scores more goals, No otherwise
  • Düsseldorf win market resolves Yes only if Düsseldorf scores more goals, No otherwise
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
  • If match is canceled with no makeup game: draw market resolves Yes, both win markets resolve No
  • Kalshi outcome markets (all three outcomes) each resolve Yes if that outcome occurs, No otherwise

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date. No early resolution occurs.
  • Match Cancellation Without Makeup: Draw market resolves Yes (treating cancellation as a tie). Both win markets resolve No. This asymmetry reflects the specific market designs.
  • Source Timing Fallback: If official Bundesliga statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution uses consensus from credible sports reporting sources (e.g., ESPN, official team sources, wire services).
  • Scope Limitation: Resolution covers only the 90-minute regulation period plus stoppage time. If the match goes to extra time or penalties (e.g., in a cup competition), those results are ignored for these markets.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official statistics are published or consensus is established, typically within 2-3 hours of final whistle on March 7, 2026.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.