TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
1. FC Nürnberg vs. Karlsruher SC
Volume:
$120,547
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Bundesliga 2 match between 1. FC Nürnberg and Karlsruher SC scheduled for February 13, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on full cancellation, while win markets resolve No. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, creating resolution uncertainty.Hero Tip:
If cancellation occurs with no make-up game, expect Polymarket draw to pay out Yes while Nürnberg and Karlsruhe win markets pay out No. Kalshi's behavior is undefined in this scenario—contact support for clarification before the match date.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three separate binary markets covering all three outcomes (Tie, Karlsruhe win, Nuremberg win). Each resolves Yes if its condition is met after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Logic assumes game must be completed for any resolution.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Karlsruhe win, Nürnberg win, draw). Win markets resolve No if game is canceled with no make-up. Draw market uniquely resolves Yes if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Postponed games remain open until completion. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw market only).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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