TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
1. FC Köln vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund
Volume:
$2,447,377
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Bundesliga soccer match between 1. FC Köln and BV Borussia 09 Dortmund scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Köln win, Dortmund win, or draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market descriptions contain a logical contradiction stating all three outcome markets resolve to Yes simultaneously, which is impossible in a three-way soccer result. Polymarket uses standard binary logic with asymmetric cancellation handling (Draw resolves Yes, others No).Hero Tip:
Kalshi's contradiction is a drafting error; settlement will follow standard soccer logic where exactly one outcome wins. On Polymarket, note the asymmetric cancellation rule: if the game is canceled with no makeup, the Draw market resolves Yes while Köln and Dortmund markets resolve No. Always cross-check the official Bundesliga website within 2 hours of match end.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three separate markets for Köln win, Dortmund win, and Tie, each described as resolving to Yes if their outcome occurs. However, the market descriptions state all three resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. Actual settlement will follow standard three-way logic: one Yes, two No.
- Polymarket: Three binary markets (Köln win, Draw, Dortmund win) with clear mutual exclusivity. Cancellation without makeup: Köln and Dortmund markets resolve No, Draw resolves Yes. Postponement keeps all markets open. Primary source is official Bundesliga statistics within 2 hours, with credible reporting as fallback.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.