TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Volume:
$180,073
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Bundesliga 2 match between 1. FC Kaiserslautern and SpVgg Greuther Fürth scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the three possible outcomes: Kaiserslautern win, draw, or Greuther Fürth win, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Kalshi's structure implies mutual exclusivity of outcomes, while Polymarket explicitly assigns different cancellation resolutions (Yes for draw, No for win markets), creating potential logical inconsistency if the match is canceled without a makeup.Hero Tip:
Traders should assume the match will be completed as scheduled. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket's draw market will resolve Yes while win markets resolve No—a state that violates the normal three-outcome partition. Request clarification from both platforms on whether cancellation counts as a draw or a separate event. For safety, hedge by understanding each platform's specific cancellation clause independently.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Presents three mutually exclusive outcome markets (Kaiserslautern win, draw, Greuther Fürth win), each resolving Yes if that outcome occurs. Implicitly assumes exactly one outcome will occur. No explicit cancellation clause provided in source data.
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with outcome-specific cancellation rules: draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no makeup; Kaiserslautern and Greuther Fürth win markets resolve No if canceled with no makeup. Creates logical gap where draw=Yes but both win markets=No simultaneously.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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