TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. VfB Stuttgart
polymarket
kalshi

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. VfB Stuttgart

Volume:
$1,834,180

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 23, 2026

Closed: Feb 22, 4:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$243,897
N/A
N/A
$103,731
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Stuttgart

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$526,733
N/A
N/A
$315,940
Settled
No
kalshi

Heidenheim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$226,385
N/A
N/A
$92,678
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. VfB Stuttgart)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$66,800
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

VfB Stuttgart

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$595,187
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

1. FC Heidenheim 1846

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$175,178
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers three mutually exclusive outcome markets for the Bundesliga match between 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 and VfB Stuttgart scheduled for February 22, 2026. Markets track whether Heidenheim wins, Stuttgart wins, or the match ends in a draw, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to YES upon cancellation with no makeup, while Kalshi provides no cancellation clause and leaves the outcome ambiguous. This creates a settlement mismatch if the game is canceled.Hero tip: Monitor Bundesliga official channels for any cancellation or postponement announcements. If cancellation occurs with no makeup game, Polymarket draw positions will resolve YES, but Kalshi positions may face manual settlement or dispute. Consider hedging or clarifying Kalshi's cancellation policy in advance.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with explicit cancellation rules. Draw market resolves YES if canceled with no makeup; Heidenheim and Stuttgart win markets resolve NO if canceled with no makeup. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw) or '"No"' (win markets).
  • Kalshi: Single omnibus market structure covering all three outcomes (Heidenheim win, Tie, Stuttgart win) with no explicit cancellation clause provided in source data. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Cancellation handling is undefined. Key Quote: 'If [outcome] wins the...game...then the market resolves to Yes' with no stated fallback.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.