TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. VfB Stuttgart
Volume:
$1,834,180
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three mutually exclusive outcome markets for the Bundesliga match between 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 and VfB Stuttgart scheduled for February 22, 2026. Markets track whether Heidenheim wins, Stuttgart wins, or the match ends in a draw, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to YES upon cancellation with no makeup, while Kalshi provides no cancellation clause and leaves the outcome ambiguous. This creates a settlement mismatch if the game is canceled.Hero Tip:
Monitor Bundesliga official channels for any cancellation or postponement announcements. If cancellation occurs with no makeup game, Polymarket draw positions will resolve YES, but Kalshi positions may face manual settlement or dispute. Consider hedging or clarifying Kalshi's cancellation policy in advance.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with explicit cancellation rules. Draw market resolves YES if canceled with no makeup; Heidenheim and Stuttgart win markets resolve NO if canceled with no makeup. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw) or '"No"' (win markets).
- Kalshi: Single omnibus market structure covering all three outcomes (Heidenheim win, Tie, Stuttgart win) with no explicit cancellation clause provided in source data. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Cancellation handling is undefined. Key Quote: 'If [outcome] wins the...game...then the market resolves to Yes' with no stated fallback.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.