TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 - Halftime Result
Volume:
$4,257
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 and FC St. Pauli 1910, scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for ALL possible halftime outcomes (Heidenheim win, draw, or St. Pauli win), making it logically unresolvable and fundamentally broken. Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi entirely—this market cannot fail to resolve YES regardless of the match result, rendering it worthless as a prediction instrument. Trade only on Polymarket, where the three halftime outcome markets are properly structured as mutually exclusive events.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: (1) Heidenheim leading at halftime resolves YES only if Heidenheim scores more goals in first 45 minutes; (2) Draw at halftime resolves YES only if both teams have equal goals; (3) St. Pauli leading resolves YES only if St. Pauli scores more goals. Exactly one market resolves YES. Quote: 'If 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions, all triggering YES: 'If Heidenheim is the winner... then resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... then resolves to Yes. If St. Pauli is the winner... then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical tautology where the market resolves YES regardless of halftime outcome, violating basic prediction market principles.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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