TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Total volume:
$62,413
Volume 24h:
$1,005
24%
Liquidity:
$7,441
4%
Open interest:
$17,447
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on whether Solana's price reaches $60 or $140 first, using Binance SOL/USDT as the exclusive price source through December 31, 2026. The winner is determined by whichever price level is touched first during the market period, with a 50-50 split if neither level is reached.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use identical resolution criteria, timeframe, price thresholds, and exclusive Binance SOL/USDT data source with no divergence detected.
Primary resolution logic:
Binance SOL/USDT spot market, specifically High and Low prices from 1-minute candles at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDTCore resolution logic:
- Market resolves to $60 if Solana price dips to $60 or below before reaching $140 or above
- Market resolves to $140 if Solana price reaches $140 or above before dipping to $60 or below
- Market resolves 50-50 if neither $60 nor $140 is reached by the deadline
- Resolution uses only Binance SOL/USDT data; alternative exchanges or sources are explicitly excluded
- Price observation uses 1-minute candle High and Low values, not closing prices or other metrics
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Simultaneous Touch: If both price levels are theoretically touched in the same 1-minute candle, the market structure (binary first-to-reach) makes this impossible; whichever extreme is hit first within that candle determines resolution.
- Wick vs Close: Resolution uses High and Low prices from candles, meaning wicks count; a price does not need to close at or beyond the threshold, only touch it intracandle.
- No Resolution by Deadline: If neither $60 nor $140 is reached by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves 50-50 to all positions.
- Data Unavailability: If Binance SOL/USDT data becomes unavailable or corrupted before resolution, platform-specific dispute procedures apply; no fallback source is specified in the market rules.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately upon first touch of either $60 or $140 price level (as recorded in Binance 1-minute candles) at any point between market creation (March 12, 2026) and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. If neither level is reached by the deadline, resolution to 50-50 occurs at market close.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.