TOTAL VOLUME:

$53.9b

24H VOL:

$231,847,320

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,314,157,835

499,417

Markets across

14,310

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,754

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
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Trending

Will Daylight launch a token by ___?

Total volume:
$159,351
Volume 24h:
$283
1,316%
Liquidity:
$9,757
7%
Open interest:
$4,895
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daylight (https://x.com/daylightenergy) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Daylight, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms apply identical resolution criteria: token must be officially launched, actively transferable, and publicly tradable by 11:59 PM ET on the cutoff date; announcements alone do not qualify.

Primary resolution logic:

Official Daylight announcements and communications (https://x.com/daylightenergy), with consensus of credible reporting as secondary source

Core resolution logic:

  • Token must be a governance token officially launched by Daylight
  • Token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable (not merely announced or in development)
  • Launch must occur by 11:59 PM ET on the specified cutoff date
  • Announcements, pre-launch statements, or non-tradable contracts do not satisfy the YES condition
  • Resolution occurs at the deadline specified in each market title

Edge cases & Clarifications:

  • Announcement vs. Launch: If Daylight announces a token launch date but the token is not yet tradable by the market deadline, the market resolves NO. The token must be live and transferable, not merely promised.
  • Multiple Token Launches: If Daylight launches multiple tokens, a YES resolution requires at least one to be a governance token that is actively tradable by the deadline.
  • Timezone Precision: All deadlines are 11:59 PM ET. Token must be tradable and transferable by this exact time on the specified date.
  • Exchange Listing vs. Launch: Token launch is defined by official Daylight action and public tradeability, not by listing on any specific exchange. However, the token must be actively tradable on at least one public venue.

Timing:

Resolution occurs at 11:59 PM ET on each market's specified cutoff date (March 31, June 30, September 30, December 31, 2026, and December 31, 2025 for the extended market)
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.