TOTAL VOLUME:
$138.4b
24H VOL:
$96,535,358
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,495,670,182
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,525,921,801
457,804
Markets across
34,744
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,812
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Oct 3, 11:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether South Florida will exceed 200.5 passing yards in their upcoming college football game against Temple, and also whether the total number of 4th down conversions in the game will exceed 0.5. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to South Florida exceeding 200.5 passing yards and a 100.0% probability to the total 4th down conversions exceeding 0.5. Resolution will be based on official stats reported by https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 3 at 7:30PM ET, as the final passing yardage and 4th down conversion totals will determine the outcome of this market.
In the upcoming college football game between Temple and South Florida, scheduled for October 3 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Temple" if Temple win the game. This market will resolve to "South Florida" if South Florida win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular result, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, and the price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the Temple vs. South Florida game.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Temple vs. South Florida game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on that information. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events. It’s important to keep this timeframe in mind when considering your positions.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could shift expectations and impact the price of shares. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-game analysis from sports analysts could also play a role. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or other polls, might also contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals and understanding their potential impact will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on opportunities before this market resolves.