TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Scotland vs. Brazil
Total volume:
$3,049
Volume 24h:
$2
49%
Liquidity:
$19,030
1%
Open interest:
$1,884
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Wednesday, June 24, 2026 between Scotland and Brazil.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where three mutually exclusive outcomes are all specified to resolve to Yes. Additionally, Polymarket/Predict and Limitless diverge on how cancellation scenarios are handled in draw markets, with different timeout and explicit cancellation logic.Hero Tip:
Kalshi markets are unresolvable as written and should be avoided entirely. For Polymarket/Predict vs Limitless: understand that cancellation with no makeup resolves draw to YES on Polymarket/Predict but only if no official result by July 24 22:00 UTC on Limitless. This creates settlement risk if the game is canceled but rescheduled before the Limitless deadline.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Draw resolves YES if game canceled entirely with no makeup; win markets resolve NO if canceled. Primary source is official FIFA statistics within 2 hours, fallback to credible reporting consensus. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Limitless: Draw resolves YES if match not completed with official result by July 24, 2026, 22:00 UTC. No explicit cancellation clause; treats all non-completion as YES for draw. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: CRITICAL FLAW: Market lists three conditions (Tie wins, Scotland wins, Brazil wins) all resolving to Yes. This is logically impossible—only one outcome can occur. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Predict: Draw resolves YES if game canceled entirely with no makeup; win markets resolve NO if canceled. Primary source is official statistics within 2 hours, fallback to credible reporting. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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