FIFA World Cup Group G Winner

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Core resolution logic:

• The market resolves to Yes for the team that finishes first (highest points) in Group G of the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage
• If multiple teams tie on points, the official 2026 FIFA World Cup tiebreak procedure determines the group winner (goal differential, goals scored, head-to-head record, etc.)
• The four eligible outcomes are New Zealand, Egypt, Belgium, and Iran
• If the group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or no winner is declared by that date, the market resolves to Other or No

Edge cases & Clarifications:

• Tied Group Winners: If two or more teams finish with equal points, the official 2026 FIFA World Cup tiebreak procedure applies (goal differential, goals scored, head-to-head record, fair play points, FIFA ranking). The team ranked highest by these criteria is the group winner.
• Group Stage Cancellation: If the group stage is cancelled or postponed beyond September 30, 2026, the market resolves to Other or No, not to any specific team.
• No Winner Declared: If no winner is officially declared for Group G within the timeframe (by September 30, 2026), the market resolves to Other or No.
• Polymarket 'Another Team' Option: Polymarket includes a 'Will another team win Group G' option, which would resolve Yes only if a team other than New Zealand, Egypt, Belgium, or Iran finishes first. This is logically consistent with the confirmed Group G composition.