TOTAL VOLUME:

$138.4b

24H VOL:

$100,175,802

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2,495,670,182

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,527,723,987

458,854

Markets across

34,821

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,814

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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Capitals vs. Lightning
predict
polymarket

Who will win Capitals vs Lightning?

Volume:
$166,075

Spread: Lightning (-1.5)

 - Polymarket

Spread: Lightning (-1.5) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 10:02 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spread: Lightning (-1.5)

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,396
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Capitals vs. Lightning

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$5,183
$5,887
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Capitals vs. Lightning

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$147,497
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Capitals vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5

View
0%
77%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,222
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Capitals vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,574
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,454
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Capitals vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,091
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Capitals vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5

View
0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$929
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 10

Description

This group centers on the NHL game between the Washington Capitals and the Tampa Bay Lightning on October 3rd. Markets cover the winner of the game, the point spread, and over/under totals for goals scored.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize the same core resolution logic based on the official NHL game results, including overtime and shootouts, with a standardized approach to handling postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: NHL.com official scores (https://www.nhl.com/scores)

Core resolution logic:

  • The winner of the game will be determined by the final score, including overtime and shootouts.
  • In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for resolution purposes.
  • If the game is postponed, the market will remain open until the game is completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market will resolve 50-50.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: The market will remain open until the game is completed. No resolution will occur until a final score is available.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the market will resolve to a 50-50 split between the available outcomes.
  • Shootout: A shootout will be treated as a one-goal victory for the winning team for the purpose of resolution.
Timing: Resolution will occur immediately following the completion of the game, as reported by NHL.com.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 3 at 7:00PM ET: If the Capitals win, the market will resolve to "Capitals". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Predict

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 3 at 7:00PM ET: If the Capitals win, the market will resolve to "Capitals". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Capitals-Lightning game. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $166,075, with $161,094 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see how predictions are evolving in real-time. The dashboard displays the probabilities assigned to different outcomes by traders on each platform, providing a comprehensive overview of expectations for the Capitals-Lightning game. This is a great way to gauge market sentiment regarding this particular matchup.

Prediction market odds, such as those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk management, while prediction markets allow anyone to participate and express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics, this market incorporates a broader range of information and sentiment, potentially identifying value where sportsbooks may be less accurate. It's important to compare both to inform your decisions.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market-specific rules. Polymarket might attract a different demographic of traders than Predict, leading to differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Capitals-Lightning game. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery. If one platform has significantly higher volume, its prices may be more efficient and responsive to new information. These differences are natural and reflect the decentralized nature of prediction markets, offering diverse perspectives on the same event.

Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Capitals or the Lightning would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in team performance, such as a winning or losing streak, could also shift predictions. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or strategic adjustments might also impact the market. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by media coverage or social media trends, could influence trading activity and therefore the price of this market. Monitoring these factors can provide insights into potential market movements.